On Guns, Dems Open Overton Window
Some are taking a position formerly unthinkable for presidential candidates.
Beto O’Rourke, Cory Booker and others are taking a position formerly unthinkable among Democratic candidates. They say we should take certain guns away. O’Rourke said Tuesday: “I was asked how I’d address people’s fears that we will take away their assault rifles. I want to be clear: That’s exactly what we’re going to do. Americans who own AR-15s and AK-47s will have to sell their assault weapons. All of them.”
Take a moment.
Let that sink in.
Editor’s note
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For years and years—and years and years—liberal Democrats fended off the accusation that what they “really” wanted in passing gun-control legislation is to take people’s guns away. Those accusations were always, always, in bad faith. They were premised on the fraudulent and malicious notion that anything less than absolute adherence to the Second Amendment was a “slippery slope” toward totalitarian tyranny. It was a lie, but even so, any Democrat who wanted to do anything (this is nowhere near hyperbole) had to contend with endless questions about “confiscation,” “gun grabbing,” and the like.
And yet here we are.
What are the Democrats thinking?
I don’t have exclusive access to any of the candidates’ minds, but if I had to guess, I’d say O’Rourke, Booker and a few trailing Democrats are doing what they can to win time, money and attention in their bids for the Democratic nomination. You could reasonably say they are taking on a fringe point of view in the hope of getting what they haven’t gotten in their campaigns, and so far that appears to be working.
There’s a less cynical way of looking at it. During the years and years—and years and years—in which liberal Democrats fended off accusations of wanting to take people’s guns away, they knew they were losing the fight over gun policy but hadn’t yet conceded defeat. They had at least some reason to hope the Republicans would accede to commonsense in the end. The 2012 Sandy Hook massacre put a stop to that magical thinking, and every mass shooting since has affirmed that terrible conclusion.
When partisans realize they have lost, and after they have accepted defeat, they turn to new strategies, an innovative period of interest to the late EE Schattschneider. In a book called The Semisovereign People, the Wesleyan political scientist theorized that losers search for people outside the “scope of conflict” in order to change the outcome of the fight. This, he said, constitutes the organization and structure of the “pressure system.” Years later, the late Joseph Overton added to Schattschneider’s theory. His “Overton Window” is the range of ideas tolerable for debate. The goal of partisans, good and bad, is opening the “window” to include their priorities and objectives.
No one until recently has ever—ever—said out loud that we should legally compel gun-owners to sell certain kinds of firearms to the government.
Applied to gun politics: the Democrats were once more than happy to accept the established “scope of conflict,” which was more or less debating the pros and cons of universal criminal background checks. Moreover, they were more than happy to ease the minds of opponents fearing universal criminal background checks were a “slippery slope” toward totalitarian tyranny. They were more than happy to do that as long as the Republicans gave them reason to believe commonsense would prevail in the end.
Since 2012, the Democrats have slowly widened the scope of conflict to include reinstituting the federal ban on military-style weapons (AR-15s particularly); a public-relations assault on the waning reputation of the National Rifle Association (turning it into a boogeyman; for instance, San Francisco’s Board of Supervisors yesterday voted to declare the NRA a “domestic terror organization.”); and some minor city- and state-level efforts to tax bullets (Elizabeth Warren wants to do that at the federal level).
But no Democrat until recently has ever—ever—said you’re right: We want to take your guns away. (Specifically, the idea is passing a law forcing gun-owners to sell certain types of firearms to the US government. This is sometimes called “compulsory buyback.”)
That’s why you should take a moment.
Let that sink in.
Will it work? No idea. But the gambit has already yielded results. Look to the reaction among some Republicans, particularly those warning of violence imminent in buying back guns. What they are saying without actually saying is that some gun-owners can’t be trusted to obey the law, which is an amazing thing to say. After all, gun-rights defenders tell us gun control can’t stop criminals from law-breaking. It only punishes “law-abiding” citizens. Like everything else in gun politics, such claims were a lie.
—John Stoehr
One thing I'd note is that the 'slippery slope' argument does not apply to assault weapons -- and yes, by that I mean _semi-automatic_ weapons or "selective-fire" patterned after the German StG-44 assault rifle.
Like large bore artillery or armored vehicles, assault rifles are simply not logistically viable tools for the 'well-regulated militia' the founders endorsed as essential to the preservation of freedom.
They're fun to fire (much as an Abrams tank is fun to drive), but as a "tool for liberty," they are sub-optimal. To be certain mass slaughter is an important 'off-label' usage of semi-automatic weapons. But, historically these weapons were originally designed for use in specific miltary situations by well-provisioned soldiers operating under specific tactical doctrine in the context of great power war.
We may argue -- in jest -- that a strict interpretation of the 2nd Amendment only protects black powder firearms, but it is very clear that the founders did not intend to protect weaponry that was itself unable to protect liberty, or that could best be used as a tool of mob rule. Further, it seems clear that they had no intention of protecting weapons that might -- through fear and terror -- infringe on citizen's right to assemble in public e.g. for a redress of grievances.
I noticed on Twitter that a lot of liberals seemed to be surprised that some conservatives are already talking about armed resistance to "feds" trying to enforce the mandatory part of the buyback. As a Texan, I'm surprised they're surprised. I've read countless letters to the editor and statements from Texas politicians, even back in the day when they weren't quite as crazy as they are now, making this threat.
In fact, I think this is the main thing conservatives mean when they talk about resisting tyranny - not an armed revolt against the world's biggest military, but rather armed resistance to "confiscation." If enforcing the law requires killing American citizens, then how many folks can the government kill before deciding that it's too many? If that sounds like I support the "right" of people to kill feds enforcing "unjust" laws, I assure you that I don't. But I am pretty sure that a lot of what passes for mainstream conservatism these days will. And for every conservative who comes out in favor of killing feds, there will ten others tsk-tsking that "to be sure, it's wrong to kill feds, but it's it's liberals' fault for riling folks up," or some other wishy-washy anti-anti gun crapola limited by only conservatives' imaginations and lack of decency.
That said, maybe part of opening the Overton window is drawing out into public view the eagerness of some conservatives to threaten or fantasize about watering the tree of liberty with law enforcement blood. Particularly if this aspect of conservative ideology is not widely known.